Thursday, October 28, 2010

Polls: Don't Believe the Hype - We May be Winning

From Political Wire:
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Democrats Catch Republicans in Generic Ballot?

A new McClatchy-Marist survey finds Democrats and Republicans tied among likely voters in the generic congressional ballot at 46% each.

Among registered voters, Democrats actually lead by six points, 47% to 41%.

Jonathan Singer: "Digging a little deeper into the survey, an extremely interesting and important number comes out: The Democrats' strength among registered voters comes directly from the cell-only population... This data buttresses the findings published earlier this month by Pew that if pollsters are skipping cell-only voters -- exactly the type of voters who are more likely to vote Democratic -- their results may simply be too favorable for the GOP."